U.S. Presidential Election Forecast, 2024

Newsom33.2%
+0.4 D
+0.7 W
+13.7 M
+17.7 Y
Latest from Realtime (Beta)
Gavin Newsom’s presidential forecast rises to 33.2%
California governor’s odds have increased significantly over the past month, according to prediction market data.
Gavin Newsom’s chances of winning the 2024 U.S. presidential election are currently at 33.2%, up slightly over the past week but significantly higher than a month ago. No recent news headlines were provided to explain these shifts.
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REP99.6%
Trump98.4%
Newsom33.2%
Cortez9.8%
Buttigieg7.5%
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Latest news articles
61.58%Trump- 2 D- 2 W- 0.6 M Y
97%Trump0 D0 W0 M+ 50 Y
56.4%Disapprove+ 0 D- 0.2 W- 0.5 M+ 1 Y
99%Trump0 D0 W0 M0 Y
53.9%Trump+ 4.1 D+ 10.4 W+ 9.8 M Y
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